Media Boat Oscar Predictions 2023

Get your ballots ready— we’re less than one week to the 95th Academy Awards! Who will take home the gold? Honestly, we have no idea. But that has never stopped us from taking a wild swing at it. Some years we’re incredibly accurate, while some years we completely miss the mark (looking at you, 2022!). Below is our list of predictions. Media Boat Podcast is not responsible for any bets lost from using our picks!

Best Supporting Actor

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)

Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Hong Chau (The Whale)

Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Best Animated short film

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse - Matt & Mike’s Pick

The Flying Sailor

Ice Merchants

My Year of Dicks

An Ostrich Told Me the World is Fake and I Think I Believe It

Best Costume design

Mary Zophres (Babylon)

Ruth Carter (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Catherine Martin (Elvis) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Shirley Kurata (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Jeremy Beavan (Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris)

Best Live action short film

An Irish Goodbye - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Ivalu

Le Pupille

Night Ride

The Red Suitcase

Best Original score

Volker Bertelmann (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Matt’s Pick

Justin Hurwitz (Babylon)

Carter Burwell (The Banshees of Inisherin) — Mike’s Pick

Son Lux (Everything Everwhere All At Once)

John Williams (The Fabelmans)

Best Sound

Viktor Prasil, Frank Kruse, Markus Stemler, lars Ginzel, and Stefan Korte (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Matt’s Pick

Julian Howarth, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Dick Bernstein, Christopher Boyes, Gary Summers and Michael Hedges (Avatar: The Way of Water)

Stuart Wilson, William Files, Douglas Murray and Andy Nelson (The Batman)

David Lee, Wayne Pashley, Andy Nelson and Michael Keller (Elvis) - Mike’s Pick

Mark Weingarten, James H. Mather, Al Nelson, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor (Top Gun: Maverick)

Best adapted screenplay

Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson & Ian Stokell (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Mike’s Pick

Rian Johnson (Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery)

Kazuo Ishiguro (Living)

Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Story by Peter Craig and Justin Marks (Top Gun: Maverick)

Sarah Polley (Women Talking) - Matt’s Pick

Best original screenplay

Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner (The Fabelmans)

Todd Field (Tar)

Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Sadness)

Best Actor in a leading role

Austin Butler (Elvis) - Matt’s Pick

Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin) - Mike’s Pick

Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

Bill Nighy (Living)

Best actress in a leading role

Cate Blanchett (Tar) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Ana de Armas (Blonde)

Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)

Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

MIchelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)

Best animated feature film

Guillermo Del Toro's Pinocchio - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Marcel the Shell With Shoes On

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

The Sea Beast

Turning Red

Best Cinematography

James Friend (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Darius Khondji (Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths)

Mandy Walker (Elvis)

Roger Deakins (Empire of Light)

Florian Hoffmeister (Tar)

Best documentary feature

All That Breathes

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

Fire of Love

A House Made of Splinters

Navalny - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Best documentary short subject

The Elephant Whisperers - Matt’s Pick

Haulout

How Do You Measure a Year?

The Martha Mitchell Effect

Stranger At the Gate

Best film editing

Mikkel E.G. Nielsen (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Matt Villa and Jonathan Redmond (Elvis)

Paul Rogers (Everything Everywhere All At Once) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Monika Willis (Tar)

Eddie Hamilton (Top Gun: Maverick)

Best international feature film

All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)

Close (Belgium)

EO (Poland)

The Quiet Girl (Ireland)

Best makeup and hairstyling

Heike Merker and Linda Eisenhamerova (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Mike’s Pick

Naomi Donne, Mike Marino and Mike Fontaine (The Batman)

Camille Friend and Joel Harlow (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Mark Coulier, Jason Baird, and Aldo Signoretti (Elvis) - Matt’s Pick

Adrien Morot, Judy Chin, and Annemarie Bradley (The Whale)

Best original song

"Applause" (Tell It Like a Woman; Music and Lyrics by Diane Warren)

"Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick; Music and Lyrics by Lady Gaga and Bloodpop) - Matt’s Pick

"Lift Me Up" (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever; Music by Tems, Rihanna, Ryan Coogler, and Ludwig Goransson; Lyrics by Tems and Ryan Coogler)

"Naatu Naatu" (RRR; Music by M.M. Keeravaani; Lyrics by Chandrabose) - Mike’s Pick

"This is a Life" (Everything Everwhere All At Once; Music by Ryan Lott, David Byrne, and Mitski; Lyrics by Ryan Lott and David Byrne)

Best production design

Christian M. Goldbeck and Ernestine Hipper (All Quiet on the Western Front) - Mike’s Pick

Dylan Cole, Ben Procter, and Vanessa Cole (Avatar: The Way of Water)

Florencia Martin and Anthony Carlino (Babylon)

Catherine Martin, Karen Murphy, and Bev Dunn (Elvis) - Matt’s Pick

Rick Carter and Karen O'Hara (The Fabelmans)

Best visual effects

Frank Petzold, Viktor Müller, Markus Frank and Kamil Jafar (All Quiet on the Western Front)

Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett (Avatar: The Way of Water) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Dan Lemmon, Russell Earl, Anders Langlands and Dominic Tuohy (The Batman)

Geoffrey Baumann, Craig Hammack, R. Christopher White and Dan Sudick (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Ryan Tudhope, Seth Hill, Bryan Litson and Scott R. Fisher (Top Gun: Maverick)

Best director

Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everwhere All At Once) - Matt & Mike’s Pick

Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Todd Field (Tar)

Ruben Ostlund (Triangle of Sadness)

Best picture

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Banshees of Inisherin

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All at Once - Matt & Mike’s Pick

The Fabelmans

Tar

Top Gun: Maverick

Triangle of Sadness

Women Talking